nifty chart

Nifty Technical Outlook Post Budget

Nifty is trading in the broader range of 8500-9000 since last 6 months and a lot of Investors are wondering whether it has the strength to further move-up or has it already made a top.  So, here’s a technical perspective on the same.While fundamental analysis is the way to go in identifying reasonable valuations; technical analysis might just aid you in taking those decisions. This technical research article may help us to reasonably identify possible directional cues for Nifty from hereon. As per Technical Analysis, Nifty is in a “Bull Trend”. A Bull trend simply means that Nifty is likely to continue to move up. A bull trend is identified by a series of rallies where each rally exceeds the highest point of the previous rally. The decline between rallies ends above the lowest point of the previous decline. As we can see from the chart below Nifty has been […]

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Category:Economy, Learn

Investors waiting at the finishing line!

In anticipation of major policy shift at the centre, investors have poured huge amount of capital in equity markets. They were patiently waiting at the bay till late December 2013 to see if there was a remote chance of improvement in business activities across the country. Elections results of Rajasthan, MP & Chhattisgarh gave investors a hope that the voters are likely to challenge the status quo and choose Modi’s vision of inclusive growth and development agenda at the central elections. The market rally began well before Modi’s rigorous national election campaign. Investors expected that the Modi government will do away with the policy gridlocks of the previous complacent government and dark clouds hovering over the companies would clear. However, growth agendas take time to materialize due to high public investments required at the initial stages. We can experience a similar situation now. Extremely high optimism surrounds the Arun Jaitley […]

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Fake Multibaggers!

“We can pick multibaggers. Subscribe to our services and get MULTIBAGGERS” – Tom, Dick & Harry Looking at the current scenario, there seems to be a slot machine game being played on the bourses. Any Tom, Dick or Harry in some corner of the country thinks he is skilled enough to spot multibaggers! Since all the stocks are moving up, there are high chances that all the recommendations will work. This means that ‘Luck’ is predominant in stock picking. Ones who are getting thrilled are forgetting what if the tide goes out? What if they held on to their investment and market went belly up? Do they have strong conviction to hold on to those stocks for long term or may be till next bull market? Seems unlikely! “Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.” –Warren Buffett People usually overestimate their stock picking ability […]

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Graph 5

Intermarket Analysis of the markets.

This article includes our Technical view on: 1)      International Gold 2)      USDINR Pair 3)      Crude 4)      Indian Equity International Gold International Gold has given a downward breakdown from the “Descending Triangle Pattern”. Descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern used in technical analysis that is created by drawing one trendline that connects a series of lower highs and a second trendline that has historically proven to be a strong level of support. It clearly shows that the demand for an asset is weakening, and when the price breaks below the lower support, it is a clear indication that downside momentum is likely to continue or become stronger. Ideally after this breakdown, Gold should have gone to 1000/1020 levels. However after the breakout there was no follow-up action on the downside. We have also seen a “Hammer” on the charts. As the name says whenever a hammer appears especially after a […]

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Category:Economy, Learn

Where the markets will go? Who cares… I know my Investments!

These days, when I meet my friends and relatives, more often than not the conversation veers predictively towards a version of “Where do I see the markets going forward over next…”. The time frame does not matter; I have come across all, from next few days to weeks to months to years. Yet invariably my answer most of the times have veered towards “I don’t know!” And this always comes as a bit of a shock but more importantly as a disappointment. However, it’s not hard to understand their shock and disappointment. Perhaps, I would have felt the same if I were to come across someone (like a Doctor) whom I see as an expert and if most of the time his responses to my queries are “I don’t know!” The disappointment they feel is probably much greater, because they have seen my peers launch in to highly sophisticated exposition […]

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